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2024-12-13 05:41:24
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CITIC Securities: In November, the PPI turned positive more than expected, and the core CPI continued to improve. According to the research report of CITIC Securities, the price data in November 2024 showed that the boosting effect on the economy after the policy shift in late September initially appeared at the "price end", mainly in two aspects: "PPI turned positive" and "continuous improvement of core CPI". In terms of PPI, this month's PPI turned positive more than expected, and the main contributions came from "the effect of trade-in for new products is gradually appearing at the price end of related industries" and "the acceleration of physical workload of infrastructure has boosted the prices of raw materials industries in the upper and middle reaches". It is embodied in the remarkable improvement of PPI in computer machine manufacturing, communication terminal equipment manufacturing, automobile manufacturing, durable consumer goods (means of subsistence), non-metallic mineral products industry and other industries. In terms of CPI, although the year-on-year growth rate of CPI further declined to 0.2%, which was significantly lower than the market expectation, it was largely affected by the over-seasonal decline in food prices. The core CPI, which the market paid more attention to, continued to improve slightly on the margin, with the year-on-year reading rising from 0.1% at the bottom of September to 0.2% in October and 0.3% in November. In terms of splitting, the CPI decline of the three major durable consumer goods and services has narrowed compared with the same period of last year. On the whole, the combination of "CPI 0.2%+PPI -2.5%" reveals that China is still facing significant "low inflation" pressure, and it is still necessary to continue to strengthen the price level with a package of incremental policies. Looking back, if the boosting effect of the "two new" policies on the demand of downstream industrial products and the driving effect of the accelerated issuance of special bonds on the physical workload of infrastructure can be released continuously, it will provide some support for the improvement of PPI; However, if you want to see the PPI continue to turn positive significantly, you may have to wait for the policy to further push the physical workload and real estate start-up data, as well as the more stringent supply-side optimization policies in some areas with more production capacity.Wuliangye Group signed a memorandum of cooperation with Gan Lu Wine Group of Chile, and on December 5th, Wuliangye Group signed a memorandum of cooperation with Gan Lu Wine Group of Chile. Chile Gan Lu Wine Group is the largest wine production group in South America, with its brand footprints in Chile, Argentina and the United States, and its sales covering 147 countries and regions around the world. This signing indicates that Wuliangye and Gan Lu Wine Group of Chile have further established a long-term and stable partnership.Sharp's share price once rose by 5.2%, and KDDI will acquire SAKAI website.


A Chilean court revoked the government's ban on iron ore projects. According to La Tercera, an environmental court in Chile sided with Andeiron, a Chilean exploration and mining company, and declared the government's decision to reject Dominga's iron ore project invalid.Guotai Junan: Actively grasp the double-low and low-premium convertible bonds with high selective price and good flexibility. Guotai Junan said that the probability of short-term risk events is not high, and the liquidity of the domestic stock market is also supported. Considering the A500 opening of positions, the allocation of insurance and wealth management products and the year-end ranking of funds, we should actively prepare for the new year-end rebound of China stock market from December 2024 to January 2025. Actively grasp the new year's rebound, high selective price and good flexibility of double low and low premium convertible bonds.The snow removal operation of several expressways in Gansu Province continued due to the temporary control of snowfall. It was learned from the traffic police department of Gansu Province that due to the large-scale snowfall and road icing, as of 7: 30 on the 10th, several expressways in Gansu Province were temporarily controlled. The highway maintenance department is continuously carrying out ice and snow removal operations.


The weighted share price index of Taiwan Stock Exchange opened 0.2% lower at 23,228.26.The initial strength of inter-bank spot bonds was obvious. The yield of active bonds of 7-year and 10-year treasury bonds dropped by 3.5bp. The yield of active bonds of 7-year and 10-year treasury bonds fell by 3.5bp, the yield of 7-year "24 interest-bearing treasury bonds 18" reported 1.725%, and the yield of 10-year "24 interest-bearing treasury bonds 11" hit 1.87%, all hitting record lows. The yield of 30-year "24 Special Treasury Bond 06" dropped by 3.1bp to 2.079%, the lowest since the end of February 2005.Yardeni, Wall Street Strategist: The Federal Reserve should keep interest rates unchanged at its December meeting. Yardeni Research believes that at the upcoming FOMC meeting, US policymakers should keep interest rates unchanged and assess the economic situation. "Policy committees should take time to see how the economy will evolve in the coming months after Trump wins the election," strategists such as Ed Yardeni said in the report. Jerome Powell, chairman of the Federal Reserve, asserted at the last meeting that policymakers "can't (or won't) model the new government's fiscal policy before it is implemented". Although the impact of tariffs and tax cuts is still uncertain, the basic view is that inflation is still too high, real GDP growth is strong, and the labor market is close to full employment, which is likely to contradict the relaxation of monetary policy.

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